The claim
NASA has warned of a 2% chance of an asteroid hitting Earth on Valentine's Day (February 14), 2026.
Original publisher’s rating
False
Reviewed by Fact Crescendo Sri Lanka ↗ ·
Read the original fact check ↗Original review summary
The review says NASA’s Sentry data showed no asteroid with a 2% impact probability for February 14, 2026, and that NASA issued no matching warning. It traces the 2% figure to early estimates for asteroid 2024 YR4’s possible impact in December 2032, while the Valentine’s Day date is associated with a different asteroid, 2023 DW, and a 2046 date.[S1]
Research date:
Sources and attribution
- [S1] Fact Crescendo Sri Lanka original review
Original review · Retrieved October 15, 2026
Original review: Fact Crescendo Sri Lanka. Structured data compiled by Data Commons under CC BY 4.0. Publisher article content is subject to its own terms. Summaries and context are produced by PeakMetrics with AI assistance.
Updated